In the early 1990s, evident
and mounting arrears of capital expenditure on UK railways did not
sit well with the policy of tight public expenditure pursued by the
Conservative government. Despite bitter hostility from the trade unions
and political opponents, and some misgivings from its own side, the
government determined in 1992 to press forward to privatise the rail
network. In an attempt to stimulate competition and innovation and
open up the industry fully to private sector investment, the decision
was made to break British Rail up into a hundred or more separate
companies and sell them off individually.
At the core of the industry were the infrastructure assets of structures,
track and signalling that would, initially at least, remain in public
ownership, be maintained and serviced by private contractors and supply
companies, and be made available to franchised train service companies
through access contracts. These companies would, in turn, procure
rolling stock from train leasing companies. British Rail’s freight
businesses would be sold off, as would the rest of its support capability.
Railtrack Plc Established and Sold
The Railways Act 1993, which empowered government to undertake
this privatisation, was passed into law in November of that year.
The first step was to set up Railtrack Plc as a publicly owned company
separate from British Rail. Railtrack came into being in April 1994,
vested with the fixed infrastructure assets of the network.
Initial progress with the creation of the passenger-service franchises
was slow and, with an election looming, the political agenda changed.
In November 1994, barely six months after Railtrack was set up,
the government announced its sale into the private sector “within
the lifetime of this parliament.” The company found itself
the subject of a stock market flotation that was to be conducted
with all possible speed and ahead of the letting of the passenger
franchises.
Flotation took place in May 1996. Preparations had been accompanied
by threats of renationalisation, should the Labour party come to
power, and a low sale price reflected government’s concern
to make the sale successful. In any event, the stock was heavily
over subscribed and traded at a considerable premium from day one.
Optimism Rises then Falls
The years immediately following flotation were optimistic ones
for the company. A largely guaranteed income from train company
access charges, a healthy profit forecast and a triple-A credit
rating all encouraged the company to set its hand to a large programme
of network renewal, upgrading and development that included the
West Coast Route Modernisation (WCRM) as the centrepiece. Thameslink
2000 was quickly added to the WCRM together with a ten-point plan
for freight network development. An ambitious station regeneration
project was launched, as were plans for major resignalling in the
South East, Manchester and Leeds. By 1998, Railtrack’s Network
Management Statement was listing no less than £16 billion
of expenditure in the following ten years, and investors felt confident
to drive the share price to £17, a five-fold increase on the
sale price.
But all was not well. The haste of the British Rail privatisation
and the extent of its fragmentation had denied Railtrack an adequate
inherited record of the extent and condition of its operational
assets, and plans to rectify this problem had been badly interrupted
by the frantic preparations for flotation. The company was unable
to flesh out the capital programme in the detail or with the certainty
that the contract letting process required. Estimates had to be
revised and dates adjusted. Regulatory concerns were expressed,
and these extended to the slow pace of investment spending. Operational
performance, too, was the subject of regulator’s criticism
as the scale of hoped-for improvement did not materialise. Such
concerns were largely muted until 1997, when the general election
brought a change of government.
New Government Sets up Strategic Rail Authority
The new government was intent on putting “railways at the
heart of transport” and took early steps to announce the setting
up of a Strategic Rail Authority (SRA) to oversee the achievement
of its ambitions. A new rail regulator was appointed who was quick
to castigate publicly industry shortcomings in the delivery of investment
and service commitments.
In late 1997 the Southall accident, which killed seven passengers,
served also to unsettle public opinion over the success of privatisation.
Media attention during 1998 focussed heavily on passenger criticisms
that the rapid growth of traffic was creating capacity pinch points
and a deterioration in service quality and safety. Railtrack’s
1998 annual report admitted “operating shortfalls,”
and acknowledged that “passenger satisfaction levels do need
to improve.”
John Prescott, the new Secretary for Transport, had quickly seized
on rail problems. Appointing Sir Alastair Morton as head of the
new SRA, he held a series of “rail summit” meetings,
from which was established a national task force to implement recovery
plans.
Railtrack and SRA Plans for Improvements
For its part, Railtrack embarked on a major programme of management
activity designed to overhaul and improve control of operations
and to improve the project management capabilities of the company.
At the same time, Railtrack publicly expressed concerns that the
emerging scale of necessary work on the network made the structure
of access charging (charging the franchised train service companies)
no longer appropriate. As this structure failed to secure for Railtrack
an adequate share of the much enlarged revenues being generated
by the train companies, it was, they said, “hindering further
growth.”
During 1999 the SRA started to make known its own initial thinking.
It was sympathetic to the argument that Railtrack needed better
financial incentives but said the company must also take on “bigger
risks and bigger investments.” The franchised train service
companies too were to be encouraged to invest more by increasing
the length of the franchises, and the SRA announced that the shorter
term franchises were to be re-let and put out to competitive tender.
The winners would be those companies that committed to major investment
in service capacity, high performance and customer care, working
in close collaboration with Railtrack.
Railtrack’s 1999 Network Management Statement outlined a
10-year programme of network investment now no less than £27
billion, including new commitments to upgrade the East Coast Main
Line and provide a direct southern access to Heathrow International
Airport. Train delays were to be reduced by 12.5 percent by the
end of 2000, and a track-quality programme to be completed by April
2001 was to deliver the highest level of track quality ever.
Railtrack’s 1999 Annual Report acknowledged pressures from
both SRA and the Office of the Rail Regulator to better deliver
its public service obligations. A Public Service Agenda was identified
with commitments to the active management of train performance and
the implementation of new maintenance contracts that would see a
move by the contractors from “the management of the contract
to the management of the asset.”
Major Accidents Add Pressure on Railtrack
Tragically, in October 1999 a collision took place at Ladbroke
Grove, outside Paddington Station, that killed 31 people. The nation
was shocked and the media turned on Railtrack with a campaign of
vilification that fed on the notion that to be private and profitable
was to be careless about safety. This position was neither objective
nor justified, but it caused a considerable loss of confidence of
shareholders and of government. Railtrack proposals to take over
responsibility for part of the London Underground network were stood
down, and ministers and the SRA took up a more interventionist stance
on the content and methodology of major investment projects.
Barely had the public inquiry into Ladbroke Grove opened when another
major accident took place, this one at Hatfield on the East Cost
Main Line. As a result of defective track, a train running at high
speed was derailed and several vehicles overturned, killing four
people. Totally shocked that its systems of inspection and repair
could fail so catastrophically, Railtrack applied temporary speed
restrictions across the network and put in hand an urgent examination
of track quality throughout the system. The results prompted a programme
of relaying of unprecedented scale, the impact of which increased
journey times and shattered reliability throughout the network,
to last throughout the remainder of the year and up to the present
time.
The impact was devastating for the industry. Passenger carryings
fell significantly. Freight contracts were lost. The claims against
Railtrack amount to some £500 million or more. The company’s
role in the industry was seriously questioned, with suggestions
that it should lose responsibility for major projects and instead
confine itself to maintenance activities. Perhaps more significantly,
the share price fell to a point where the company’s ability
to raise capital for major investment was badly impaired, and the
confidence of the financial markets so shaken as to make it necessary
for government to take on the necessary risks and financial participation
if the vision for the rail network is to be carried through.
Replacement of both the Railtrack chairman and its CEO brought
little relief to the company. Throughout 2000, both the planned
technical innovations and the project milestones of the WRMC were
proving elusive, and the rising costs of this and other elements
of the network plan drove Railtrack increasingly to look for government
to underwrite greater financial support, whilst trying to write
down the scope of some projects. With the appointment of Stephen
Byers as the new Secretary of State for Transport in 2001, it seemed
initially that government would keep faith with the company and
make the necessary funds available. But by the third quarter of
2001, Byers’ resolve had seemingly evaporated, and in an apparent
about-turn, in October he announced his decision to pull the plug
on support for Railtrack. The share price collapsed immediately,
and it was only days before the company was put into administration,
where it remains today.
A View Toward the Future
The natural instinct of many in the socialist government—and
elsewhere—is to bring railways back into state ownership.
They conveniently forget the sorry history of British Rail’s
investment record, and overlook the practical problems and the cost
of renationalisation. Government realises that with priority of
public spending in the health and education fields, there is a necessity
for on-going private sector funding of rail on a large scale if
it is to remain a vital transportation mode in the UK.
Government’s immediate aim is to remodel Railtrack—or
its successor—into a “not-for-profit company,”
a concept that many financial analysts and those in the City have
difficulty with as a recipient of institutional investment funding.
It will inevitably result in dearer funding.
Progress of WCRM proceeds, to a reduced scope, but other investment
projects are called in by the SRA for re-examination, and the much
vaunted process of reletting the passenger franchises is seemingly
at a standstill.
What is clear is that the infrastructure controller of the network,
Railtrack or its successor, must continue to play a pivotal role
in any route modernisation and investment that impacts on the running
of the system. Train services must operate to a disciplined plan,
and upgrade works and renewals must, with rare exceptions, take
account of
operating needs. Someone has to be in overall control and accountable,
and that is Railtrack.
The first five years of privatisation have been traumatic. But
lessons have been learnt, and the whole industry is wiser. Companies
realise the extent of the interdependence on one another. Most of
all, in this time members of the public have shown through their
additional patronage their enthusiasm for rail as a way to travel
provided it is easy to use, safe and can be relied on. The way forward
for Railtrack and the train companies is through collaboration,
releasing the inherent potential of the industry and its people,
and matching these with the resources and skills of partners whose
experience is derived from other business scenarios. The new chairman
of the SRA, Richard Bowker, and Railtrack’s new CEO, John
Armitt, both inspire a cautious confidence that things really can
start to move forward again. It is with them that PB has a valuable
contribution to make. |